Nearly 1.8GW of contracted capacity is comparable to the continuous output of a large nuclear plant. Tenants reserve years of power and construction slots. Developers commit today's land, equipment, labor and financing. An entire unfinished campus sits between signature and cash collection.
Public disclosure leaves a clear gap. Traditional hyperscalers are often described as “investment-grade hyperscale customers,” while CoreWeave is named in several agreements. Tenant identity informs credit analysis. Term, minimum payment, CapEx responsibility, energization schedule and termination rights determine cash-flow quality.
Four agreements show how the contract scale has changed
Polaris Forge 1 has 400MW under contract for a base term of roughly 15 years and about $11 billion of disclosed contracted revenue. At the start of 2026, 100MW was energized and 300MW remained under construction.
Investor materialsFive campuses carry about 590MW of leased customer power, primarily under roughly 12-year take-or-pay contracts. More than 185MW was active and billable in March 2026.
Company disclosureThree 96MW Northern Virginia facilities are fully leased to three distinct investment-grade hyperscale customers for 15 years, with 3.6% annual rent escalators. The tenants remain unnamed.
Company releaseVNET disclosed a 510MW order in Greater Beijing from a leading internet customer. The company did not identify the tenant, leaving delivery and utilization as the relevant proof points.
Q1 2026 resultsMeasurement note: contracted power, IT load, campus utility capacity and billable capacity are different measures. We preserve each company's disclosed basis; the numbers should not be added as current revenue or operating capacity.
The economics of two 100MW deals can diverge sharply
Utility capacity or IT load
Companies may disclose utility supply, critical IT load or leased power. PUE, redundancy and phased construction change the amount of compute that can be sold.
Contracted, energized and billable
Contracted capacity provides a forward signal. Energized capacity verifies delivery. Billable capacity enters current revenue. The three measures require separate tracking.
Who funds the build first
The more upfront capital a developer carries, the more sensitive the contract becomes to financing cost and delivery discipline. Deposits, guarantees and phased acceptance change that allocation.
A ranking by megawatts describes order size. Project returns still depend on rent, cost pass-through, build budget, financing, delivery time and tenant credit. We preserve the disclosed basis and use contract, energization and billing as three tests of the same agreement.
Long terms lock in demand and redistribute risk
- 01Pre-leasing and phased delivery
Customers reserve capacity before operation, while developers deliver in 50–100MW phases. Backlog becomes revenue only after energization and acceptance.
- 02Take-or-pay and credit support
Minimum payments reduce vacancy risk. Deposits, parent guarantees and termination clauses determine how much protection survives stress.
- 03CapEx responsibility
Customer-funded, developer-funded and shared structures create very different financing needs, project returns and balance-sheet pressure.
- 04Power and cost pass-through
Utility pass-through, delay allocation and rent escalators determine how much of the headline contract value reaches operating profit.
Similar leases create different company risk profiles
APLD / CORZ
Large contracts create multi-year visibility. Customer concentration, construction finance and on-time energization dominate the risk. Billable MW should be read beside MW under construction.
Delivery updateDLR / EQIX
Tenants and markets are more diversified. Digital Realty reported a nine-month average signing-to-commencement lag and a $1.9 billion annualized backlog in Q2; Equinix combines interconnection with xScale campuses.
DLR Q2 2026Equinix FY2025VNET / GDS
Large orders validate demand in core clusters, while tenant identity and contract detail remain limited. VNET's utilized MW and GDS's committed area and delivery cadence offer the cleaner time series.
VNET Q1 2026GDS 2025 20-FA lease needs three confirmations
Check term, minimum payment, guarantee, termination rights, CapEx responsibility and utility pass-through.
Compare MW under construction, energized MW, build budget and original delivery schedule for slippage and overruns.
Track billable capacity, utilization, backlog conversion and depreciation growth relative to revenue.
The thesis weakens when tenants defer capacity, utility delivery keeps slipping, developer financing costs rise sharply, or energized capacity fails to become billable. A large contract establishes the starting point; execution produces the cash flow.
IDC ATLAS VIEWScarce data-center assets over the next two years will combine secured power, on-time delivery and enforceable contracts. Contracted gigawatts show scale; billable megawatts show the result.
